RAAL La Louvière – Zulte Waregem: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Matchday 9

RAAL La LouvièrePro League · #14

3-0Saturday, October 24

Zulte WaregemPro League · #10

Match events

RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregem

5'Mame Wade
37'⚽Nolan GillotAssist: Zsombor Gruber
44'VARMustapha IsahGoal cancelled
46'Mustapha Isah
59'Siad Gourville
62'⇄Tobias HedlOff: Ousseynou Niang
62'

Chances to win

RAAL La Louvière%31

Draw%28

Zulte Waregem%41

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Not both score%45

Zulte Waregem win%41

RAAL La Louvière win%31

Draw%28

Why?

RAAL La Louvière: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RAAL La LouvièreW4-0L1-4L0-2W3-0L0-4

Zulte WaregemW3-0L0-2L0-3L0-1W2-0

Last 6 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière won

3Draw

3Zulte Waregem won

2.2
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

RAAL La Louvière · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Zulte Waregem · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

RAAL La Louvière · last 9 at home5.3 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards

Zulte Waregem · last 10 away5.2 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards6/10Over 1.5 cards3/10

Bench

Louis Bostyn, Yannick Cappelle, Thomas Claes, Tristan Panduro, Franz Tangala, Nikola Mituljikić, Tobias Hedl, Kewan Vemba, Akpa Chukwu Hemsley

October 4, 2025 · Jupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière – Zulte WaregemFebruary 2, 2025 · Challenger Pro League0-0

Zulte Waregem – RAAL La LouvièreNovember 10, 2024 · Challenger Pro League2-1

Thomas ClaesOff: Serxho Ujka

66'⇄Léandro RousseauOff: Zsombor Gruber

72'⇄Nikola MituljikićOff: István Átrok

73'⚽Nolan GillotAssist: Marius Courcoul

77'⇄Anas TajaouartOff: Ismaila Coulibaly

77'⇄Elias FiletOff: Mustapha Isah

77'⇄Mehdi BoukamirOff: Mame Wade

83'⇄Akpa Chukwu HemsleyOff: Benoit De Jaegere

84'⚽Léandro Rousseau

90+1'Marius Courcoul

Statistics

45%Possession55%

1.56Expected goals0.82

15Total shots15

8Shots on target6

5Corners3

21Fouls11

4Offsides0

4Yellow cards1

6Saves5

74%Pass accuracy74%

Zulte Waregem: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

RAAL La Louvière scored 2.0 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Zulte Waregem scored 1.4 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

RAAL La Louvière · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Zulte Waregem · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

RAAL La Louvière: 10 games · Zulte Waregem: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.5

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %969/10

9/10Over 1.5league %829/10

8/10Over 2.5league %656/10

5/10Over 3.5league %382/10

3/10Over 4.5league %211/10

5/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

RAAL La Louvière: 10 games · Zulte Waregem: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.22.8

10/10Over 0.5league %969/10

10/10Over 1.5league %828/10

8/10Over 2.5league %656/10

4/10Over 3.5league %383/10

1/10Over 4.5league %211/10

4/10Both scoreleague %462/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.48 – 0.82 The score the chances deserved (xG): RAAL La Louvière 1.48 – 0.82 Zulte Waregem.

%31 Our model's pre-match chance of a RAAL La Louvière win.

%53 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), RAAL La Louvière win 528, 264 end level and Zulte Waregem win 208. The actual result comes up 528 times in 1000.

9.3

Man of the match: Nolan Gillot (RAAL La Louvière), rated 9.3.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League

Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière · All games

Zulte Waregem · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at RAAL La Louvière's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match