Lechia Gdansk – Unia Skierniewice: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·I Liga · Poland · Matchday 13

Lechia GdanskI Liga · #6

3-2Saturday, October 31

Unia SkierniewiceI Liga · #18

Match events

Lechia GdanskUnia Skierniewice

4'⚽B. Bida
23'J. Adkonis
24'⚽V. BlanutaAssist: A. Shakh
33'D. Beskorovaynyi
40'⚽B. BidaAssist: A. Burkiewicz
45+2'⇄B. SzczepankiewiczOff: T. Neugebauer
48'

Chances to win

Lechia Gdansk%55

Draw%22

Unia Skierniewice%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%69Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

Lechia Gdansk win%55

Not both score%34

Under 2.5%31

Unia Skierniewice win%22

Draw%22

Why?

Lechia Gdansk: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Lechia GdanskL0-6L1-2W2-1W2-1W7-1

Unia SkierniewiceL1-2L0-1D2-2D1-1W3-2

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lechia Gdansk · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Unia Skierniewice · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lechia Gdansk · last 3 at home6.0 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/3Over 4.5 corners1/3Over 5.5 corners1/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards2/3

Model chances

66'⇄H. IvanovOff: J. Adkonis

66'⇄B. SonkoOff: K. Dodaj

78'⇄M. KosiorOff: A. Burkiewicz

78'⇄L. WolsztynskiOff: D. Gaska

84'⚽A. ShakhAssist: T. Wojtowicz

85'⇄K. KaliszOff: B. Bida

85'⇄M. MularczykOff: S. Dudek

88'⇄K. ToporkiewiczOff: J. Bieronski

Unia Skierniewice: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Lechia Gdansk scored 1.5 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Unia Skierniewice scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lechia Gdansk · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Lechia Gdansk: 10 games · Unia Skierniewice: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %738/10

9/10Over 2.5league %515/10

3/10Over 3.5league %264/10

3/10Over 4.5league %111/10

6/10Both scoreleague %537/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Lechia Gdansk: 10 games · Unia Skierniewice: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.8

4.3Total goals per gameleague 2.72.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %737/10

10/10Over 2.5league %516/10

4/10Over 3.5league %264/10

4/10Over 4.5league %112/10

9/10Both scoreleague %536/10

0/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%55 Our model's pre-match chance of a Lechia Gdansk win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Model chances

Referee

Lechia Gdansk · I Liga

Unia Skierniewice · I Liga

Lechia Gdansk · All games

Unia Skierniewice · All games

Missing players

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match