Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – Stal Mielec: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·I Liga · Poland · Matchday 13

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga · #1

0-1Friday, October 30

Stal MielecI Liga · #11

Match events

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Mielec

6'⚽F. GerbowskiAssist: M. Cebula
62'B. Kwiecien
63'⇄M. RuszkiewiczOff: H. Uzoigwe
63'⇄J. JedrasikOff: K. Kargulewicz
63'⇄H. TurskiOff: D. Jaron
67'⇄H. MatyniaOff: K. Cybulski

Chances to win

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki%45

Draw%25

Stal Mielec%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%61Over 2.5

%64Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%64

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win%45

Under 2.5%39

Not both score%36

Stal Mielec win%30

Draw%25

Why?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL0-2L0-1W4-0W2-0L2-3

Stal MielecD0-0L0-3W2-1L1-7L1-2

Last 2 meetings

1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki won

0Draw

1Stal Mielec won

3.0
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Stal Mielec · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

69'⇄O. KoprowskiOff: B. Ciepiela

72'⇄P. PrajsnarOff: B. Kwiecien

72'⇄M. DomanskiOff: M. Cebula

87'⇄G. GulczynskiOff: K. Los

88'⇄N. NiedzwiedzOff: F. Gerbowski

Stal Mielec: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scored 0.9 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Stal Mielec scored 1.1 and conceded 2.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Stal Mielec · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 10 games · Stal Mielec: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.3

1.9Total goals per gameleague 2.73.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

5/10Over 1.5league %738/10

2/10Over 2.5league %517/10

2/10Over 3.5league %264/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

3/10Both scoreleague %535/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 10 games · Stal Mielec: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %738/10

5/10Over 2.5league %516/10

5/10Over 3.5league %263/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

4/10Both scoreleague %535/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%30 Our model's pre-match chance of an Stal Mielec win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Referee

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · I Liga

Stal Mielec · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · All games

Stal Mielec · All games

Missing players

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match