Hull City – Ipswich: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Premier League · England · Matchday 9

Hull CityPremier League · #10

2-2Saturday, October 31

IpswichPremier League · #12

Match events

Hull CityIpswich

22'⚽Florentino LuísAssist: Abdoul Ouattara
28'Exequiel Palacios
45'⇄Matt CrooksOff: John Egan
52'Elliot Stroud
58'⚽Tim IroegbunamAssist: Oliver McBurnie
60'⇄Mohamed Ali ChoOff: Elliot Stroud
60'

Chances to win

Hull City%34

Draw%28

Ipswich%39

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%43

Ipswich win%39

Hull City win%34

Draw%28

Why?

Hull City: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Hull CityD1-1L0-1D2-2L1-2D2-2

IpswichD1-1L2-3W2-1L0-1L2-4

Last 15 meetings

8Hull City won

3Draw

4Ipswich won

2.7
Goals per game9/15
Over 2.55/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Hull City · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Ipswich · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Hull City · last 10 at home2.6 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners

Ipswich · last 10 away4.5 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

D. Phillips, P. McNair, B. Norton-Cuffy, L. Herrington, H. Morita, M. Crooks, C. Mouzakitis, J. Gelhardt, M. Cho

Ipswich · 4-2-3-1

28C. Walton

3L. Davis

6I. Diop

26D. O'Shea

42A. Ouattara

7A. Fatawu

10J. Enciso

11J. Philogene

12Florentino

25E. Palacios

19Emersonn

Bench

K. Scherpen, D. Furlong, J. Greaves, A. Matusiwa, M. Núñez, Z. Flemming, C. Akpom, D. Maeda, J. Clarke

Hull City – IpswichFebruary 23, 2021 · League One0-1

Ipswich – Hull CityNovember 24, 2020 · League One0-3

Ipswich – Hull CityMarch 30, 2019 · Championship0-2

Hull City – IpswichSeptember 15, 2018 · Championship2-0

Ipswich – Hull CityMarch 13, 2018 · Championship0-3

Hull City – IpswichNovember 18, 2017 · Championship2-2

Ipswich – Hull CityFebruary 23, 2016 · Championship0-1

Hull City – IpswichOctober 20, 2015 · Championship3-0

Ipswich – Hull CityApril 13, 2013 · Championship1-2

Hull City – IpswichOctober 20, 2012 · Championship2-1

Hull City – IpswichMarch 10, 2012 · Championship2-2

68'⚽Oliver McBurnie

70'⇄Jack ClarkeOff: Jaden Philogene-Bidace

70'⇄Azor MatusiwaOff: Florentino Luís

70'⇄Daizen MaedaOff: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku

74'⚽Julio EncisoAssist: Azor Matusiwa

77'⇄Zian FlemmingOff: Emersonn

77'⇄Brooke Norton-CuffyOff: Lewie Coyle

77'⇄Hidemasa MoritaOff: Tim Iroegbunam

90'⇄Joe GelhardtOff: Regan Slater

90+5'⇄Chuba AkpomOff: Julio Enciso

Statistics

38%Possession62%

0.76Expected goals1.08

9Total shots15

3Shots on target3

6Corners3

13Fouls12

4Offsides3

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves1

Ipswich: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Hull City scored 1.2 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Ipswich scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Hull City · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Ipswich · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Hull City: 10 games · Ipswich: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.6

1.8Total goals per gameleague 2.83.1

7/10Over 0.5league %939/10

6/10Over 1.5league %768/10

3/10Over 2.5league %505/10

2/10Over 3.5league %314/10

0/10Over 4.5league %183/10

5/10Both scoreleague %505/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Hull City: 10 games · Ipswich: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.83.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %769/10

3/10Over 2.5league %507/10

2/10Over 3.5league %315/10

0/10Over 4.5league %184/10

5/10Both scoreleague %508/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%32 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Hull City win 255, 318 end level and Ipswich win 427. The actual result comes up 318 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.76 – 1.08 The score the chances deserved (xG): Hull City 0.76 – 1.08 Ipswich.

8.7

Man of the match: O. McBurnie (Hull City), rated 8.7.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Hull City · Premier League

Ipswich · Premier League

Hull City · All games

Ipswich · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Hull City's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match