Renofa Yamaguchi – Kitakyushu: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·J3 League · Japan · Matchday 14

Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League · #3

0-2Saturday, October 31

KitakyushuJ3 League · #12

Match events

Renofa YamaguchiKitakyushu

20'K. Yoshioka
33'K. Yokokubo
52'⚽T. NarasakaAssist: S. Hiramatsu
60'⇄S. KuboOff: S. Watanabe
60'⇄N. NomuraOff: N. Misawa
64'⇄F. YoshiharaOff: R. Hirahara

Chances to win

Renofa Yamaguchi%58

Draw%23

Kitakyushu%18

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Renofa Yamaguchi win.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%56

Both score%54

Not both score%46

Under 2.5%44

Draw%23

Kitakyushu win%18

Why?

Renofa Yamaguchi won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Renofa YamaguchiW2-0L1-2W2-0W1-0W2-0

KitakyushuW3-1L1-2W3-1L0-2W2-0

Last 10 meetings

5Renofa Yamaguchi won

2Draw

3Kitakyushu won

2.7
Goals per game5/10
Over 2.55/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Renofa Yamaguchi · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Kitakyushu · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Renofa Yamaguchi – KitakyushuNovember 13, 2021 · J2 League0-1

Kitakyushu – Renofa YamaguchiApril 21, 2021 · J2 League0-0

Renofa Yamaguchi – KitakyushuDecember 6, 2020 · J2 League4-1

Kitakyushu – Renofa YamaguchiJuly 25, 2020 · J2 League2-0

Renofa Yamaguchi – KitakyushuJuly 10, 2016 · J2 League5-1

Kitakyushu – Renofa YamaguchiMarch 6, 2016 · J2 League0-1

J. SuzukiOff: T. Itakura

71'⇄T. ItoOff: K. Tanabe

71'⇄K. FukumoriOff: S. Maruyama

71'⇄M. WadeOff: K. Yoshida

78'⚽M. YoshinagaAssist: S. Yasumitsu

79'⇄K. FujiokaOff: S. Yamamoto

82'⇄J. IkomaOff: T. Narasaka

82'⇄K. HasegawaOff: S. Koh

Renofa Yamaguchi scored 1.3 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Kitakyushu scored 1.6 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Renofa Yamaguchi · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Kitakyushu · last 10 away: 6 defeats6/10

Renofa Yamaguchi: 7 games · Kitakyushu: 6 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.9Goals conceded (avg)2.3

1.9Total goals per gameleague 2.83.5

6/7Over 0.5league %916/6

5/7Over 1.5league %736/6

1/7Over 2.5league %565/6

1/7Over 3.5league %342/6

0/7Over 4.5league %181/6

1/7Both scoreleague %554/6

4/7Clean sheets0/6

3/7Failed to score2/6

Renofa Yamaguchi: 10 games · Kitakyushu: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.5

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.83.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

9/10Over 1.5league %7310/10

4/10Over 2.5league %567/10

1/10Over 3.5league %344/10

0/10Over 4.5league %181/10

3/10Both scoreleague %557/10

6/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Our model's pre-match chance of an Kitakyushu win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Renofa Yamaguchi · J3 League

Kitakyushu · J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi · All games

Kitakyushu · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Renofa Yamaguchi's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match