FC Vaduz – FC Basel 1893: probabilities, statistics and live score

FC VaduzSuper League · #9

3-0Sunday, October 11

FC Basel 1893Super League · #7

Match events

FC VaduzFC Basel 1893

26'⚽Marcel MonsbergerAssist: Lutfi Dalipi
36'⚽Marcel MonsbergerAssist: Dominik Schwizer
48'Denis Simani
50'Juan Cabrera
51'Kazeem Olaigbe
52'Dominik Schwizer
55'

Chances to win

FC Vaduz%40

Draw%24

FC Basel 1893%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%69Over 2.5

%70Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

FC VaduzL1-2L1-2W3-1L1-2W5-2

FC Basel 1893L1-3W4-2L1-3L1-2D

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

FC Vaduz · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

FC Basel 1893 · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

FC Vaduz · last 5 at home5.6 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/5Over 4.5 corners3/5Over 5.5 corners2/5Over 0.5 cards4/5Over 1.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%70

FC Vaduz win%40

FC Basel 1893 win%36

Under 2.5%31

Not both score%30

Draw%24

Why?

FC Vaduz · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 10 times10/10

FC Basel 1893 · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

FC Vaduz: 3+ goals in 10 of their last 10 home matches.
FC Basel 1893: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
FC Vaduz scored 2.5 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
FC Basel 1893 scored 1.9 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC Vaduz: 10 games · FC Basel 1893: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.0

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.64.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %869/10

10/10Over 2.5league %749/10

6/10Over 3.5league %495/10

2/10Over 4.5league %333/10

8/10Both scoreleague %685/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

FC Vaduz: 10 games · FC Basel 1893: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)2.1

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.8

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.63.9

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

10/10Over 1.5league %869/10

10/10Over 2.5league %749/10

5/10Over 3.5league %495/10

2/10Over 4.5league %333/10

9/10Both scoreleague %687/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%80 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), FC Vaduz win 803, 119 end level and FC Basel 1893 win 78. The actual result comes up 803 times in 1000.

3.11 – 0.92 The score the chances deserved (xG): FC Vaduz 3.11 – 0.92 FC Basel 1893.

7 – 1 Shots on target: FC Vaduz 7 – 1 FC Basel 1893.

9.0

Man of the match: M. Monsberger (FC Vaduz), rated 9.0.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Previous meetings

Model chances

FC Vaduz · Super League

FC Basel 1893 · Super League

FC Vaduz · All games

FC Basel 1893 · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match