Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie Lubin: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ekstraklasa · Poland · Matchday 10

Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa · #13

3-1Saturday, October 10

Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa · #7

Match events

Cracovia KrakowZaglebie Lubin

27'⚽Aleks Lawniczak
29'Amir Al-Ammari
49'VARGustav HenrikssonPenalty confirmed
53'Zlatan Alomerović
54'⚽Ajdin HasićPenalty
64'⇄Josip ĆorlukaOff: Mateusz Grzybek
68'

Chances to win

Cracovia Krakow%48

Draw%27

Zaglebie Lubin%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%51Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%53

Over 2.5%49

Cracovia Krakow win%48

Not both score%47

Draw%27

Zaglebie Lubin win%25

Why?

Cracovia Krakow: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Cracovia KrakowL2-3L1-3L0-1D1-1L1-2

Zaglebie LubinL0-2W3-2W2-1D1-1L2-3

Last 8 meetings

3Cracovia Krakow won

4Draw

1Zaglebie Lubin won

1.6
Goals per game2/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cracovia Krakow · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Zaglebie Lubin · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cracovia Krakow · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Zaglebie Lubin · last 9 away3.1 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners0/9Over 0.5 cards7/9Over 1.5 cards6/9

Bench

D. Hładun, D. Michalski, J. Ćorluka, I. Orlikowski, A. Woźniak, S. Łyczko, J. Kolan, S. Kerk, M. Mlinarić

November 29, 2024 · Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin – Cracovia KrakowFebruary 18, 2024 · Ekstraklasa1-1

Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie LubinAugust 11, 2023 · Ekstraklasa2-1

Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie LubinMay 13, 2023 · Ekstraklasa0-1

Zaglebie Lubin – Cracovia KrakowOctober 30, 2022 · Ekstraklasa0-2

73'⇄Damian MichalskiOff: David Čolina

73'⇄Szymon LyczkoOff: Filip Szymczak

73'⇄Sebastian KerkOff: Jakub·Sypek

74'⇄Martin MinchevOff: sayfallah ltaief

80'⇄Mohamed BerteOff: Mateusz Klich

90+3'VARAjdin HasićPenalty confirmed

90+8'⚽Ajdin HasićPenalty

90+9'⇄Mihael MlinarićOff: Filip Kocaba

90+10'⇄Kamil GlikOff: Ajdin Hasić

90+11'Leszek Ojrzynski

90+18'⚽Mohamed BerteAssist: Vincent Burlet

Statistics

59%Possession41%

3.01Expected goals1.13

16Total shots16

6Shots on target6

5Corners1

14Fouls14

1Offsides0

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

5Saves3

Zaglebie Lubin: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Cracovia Krakow scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Zaglebie Lubin scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cracovia Krakow · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Zaglebie Lubin · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Cracovia Krakow: 10 games · Zaglebie Lubin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

8/10Over 1.5league %827/10

4/10Over 2.5league %595/10

2/10Over 3.5league %315/10

1/10Over 4.5league %192/10

7/10Both scoreleague %656/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Cracovia Krakow: 10 games · Zaglebie Lubin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.3Total goals per gameleague 2.92.6

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

9/10Over 1.5league %827/10

7/10Over 2.5league %595/10

5/10Over 3.5league %314/10

2/10Over 4.5league %192/10

9/10Both scoreleague %656/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%75 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Cracovia Krakow win 751, 138 end level and Zaglebie Lubin win 111. The actual result comes up 751 times in 1000.

8.0

Man of the match: S. Madejski (Cracovia Krakow), rated 8.0.

3.01 – 1.13 The score the chances deserved (xG): Cracovia Krakow 3.01 – 1.13 Zaglebie Lubin.

%48 Our model's pre-match chance of a Cracovia Krakow win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cracovia Krakow · Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin · Ekstraklasa

Cracovia Krakow · All games

Zaglebie Lubin · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cracovia Krakow's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match