Nantes – Reims: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 2 · France · Matchday 8

NantesLigue 2 · #15

0-0Saturday, October 10

ReimsLigue 2 · #5

Match events

NantesReims

33'Wilitty Younoussa
59'seydou dembele
64'⇄Tidiane DiarrassoubaOff: seydou dembele
65'⇄Youssef el KachatiOff: Sambou Soumano
68'⇄Killian CorredorOff: Igniatius Ganago
68'⇄Dehmaine TabibouOff: Wilitty Younoussa

Chances to win

Nantes%43

Draw%28

Reims%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Not both score%46

Nantes win%43

Reims win%29

Draw%28

Why?

Nantes: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

NantesW2-1L0-1W1-0D3-3L2-5

ReimsD1-1W2-1D2-2W4-1W3-1

Last 6 meetings

1Nantes won

1Draw

4Reims won

1.8
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Nantes · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Reims · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Nantes · last 10 at home5.0 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Reims · last 10 away3.8 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

E. Omeragic, John Otomewo, Sergio Akieme, J. Celestin, J. Patrick, T. Diarrassouba, Y. El Kachati, A. Gadou, Quentin Paris

Nantes – ReimsApril 2, 2023 · Ligue 1

Reims – NantesNovember 6, 2022 · Ligue 11-0

Balthazar PierretOff: Johann Lepenant

77'⇄Fabien CentonzeOff: Fode Doucoure

86'⇄Antoine JoujouOff: Ryad Hachem

88'Chamsedin Kouranfal

Statistics

49%Possession51%

1.71Expected goals0.3

15Total shots7

5Shots on target4

7Corners6

12Fouls13

1Offsides1

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

4Saves5

Reims: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Nantes scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Reims scored 1.3 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Reims · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Nantes: 10 games · Reims: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.5Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

9/10Over 0.5league %928/10

6/10Over 1.5league %718/10

4/10Over 2.5league %474/10

3/10Over 3.5league %302/10

3/10Over 4.5league %171/10

5/10Both scoreleague %597/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Nantes: 10 games · Reims: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.73.2

9/10Over 0.5league %928/10

6/10Over 1.5league %718/10

5/10Over 2.5league %476/10

3/10Over 3.5league %305/10

3/10Over 4.5league %173/10

6/10Both scoreleague %598/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%21 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Nantes win 729, 212 end level and Reims win 59. The actual result comes up 212 times in 1000.

%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.71 – 0.30 The score the chances deserved (xG): Nantes 1.71 – 0.30 Reims.

15 – 7 Shots: Nantes 15 – 7 Reims.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Nantes · Ligue 2

Reims · Ligue 2

Nantes · All games

Reims · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Nantes's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match