Nancy – Guingamp: probabilities, statistics and live score

NancyLigue 2 · #4

1-0Friday, October 9

GuingampLigue 2 · #9

Match events

NancyGuingamp

45+2'Walid Bouabdeli
55'Jeovanni Dianganga
55'Kouroufia Kebe
56'Amine Hemia
64'⇄Teddy Andami AverlantOff: Samir Ben Brahim
65'⇄Amadou SamouraOff: Florent Sanchez Da Silva

Chances to win

Nancy%47

Draw%26

Guingamp%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

NancyW4-3L1-2L0-1W2-0W1-0

GuingampL1-3W2-1D2-2D3-3L

Last 2 meetings

0Nancy won

1Draw

1Guingamp won

3.5
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Nancy · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Guingamp · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Nancy · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%48

Nancy win%47

Not both score%45

Guingamp win%27

Draw%26

Why?

Nancy · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Guingamp · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Nancy: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Guingamp: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Nancy scored 1.2 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Guingamp scored 0.9 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Nancy: 10 games · Guingamp: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %716/10

5/10Over 2.5league %495/10

3/10Over 3.5league %293/10

3/10Over 4.5league %171/10

5/10Both scoreleague %585/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Nancy: 10 games · Guingamp: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

4/10Over 1.5league %717/10

3/10Over 2.5league %496/10

1/10Over 3.5league %293/10

1/10Over 4.5league %171/10

3/10Both scoreleague %585/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+6'

Zakaria Fdaouch decided it in minute 90.

%80 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Nancy win 795, 145 end level and Guingamp win 60. The actual result comes up 795 times in 1000.

2.39 – 0.50 The score the chances deserved (xG): Nancy 2.39 – 0.50 Guingamp.

17 – 8 Shots: Nancy 17 – 8 Guingamp.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Nancy · Ligue 2

Guingamp · Ligue 2

Nancy · All games

Guingamp · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match