Deportivo Pereira – Jaguares: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Primera A · Colombia · Clausura - 5

Deportivo PereiraApertura · #20

1-0Saturday, October 31

JaguaresApertura · #16

Match events

Deportivo PereiraJaguares

3'J. Franco
10'VARA. PlataGoal Disallowed - handball
31'J. Largacha
46'⇄J. ArcilaOff: J. Franco
59'⇄D. LopezOff: W. De La Rosa
63'⇄F. A. Gil MosqueraOff: J. Mejia

Chances to win

Deportivo Pereira%41

Draw%27

Jaguares%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Under 2.5%49

Not both score%43

Deportivo Pereira win%41

Jaguares win%32

Draw%27

Why?

Deportivo Pereira: both sides scored in 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Deportivo PereiraD1-1W2-0D1-1D0-0L0-4

JaguaresW1-0L1-2L1-4W3-2L0-2

Last 13 meetings

7Deportivo Pereira won

3Draw

3Jaguares won

2.2
Goals per game6/13
Over 2.55/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Deportivo Pereira · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Jaguares · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Deportivo Pereira · last 7 at home3.6 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/7Over 4.5 corners2/7Over 5.5 corners1/7Over 0.5 cards

Jaguares · last 6 away3.3 corners, 3.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/6Over 4.5 corners2/6Over 5.5 corners0/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards5/6

7Wilfrido De la Rosa

Bench

Diego Martínez, Juan Pérez, Carlos Henao, Royscer Colpa, Duvan Rodríguez, Darwin Lopez, Faber Andrés Gil, Santiago Cubides

Deportivo Pereira – JaguaresAugust 20, 2023 · Primera A3-0

Jaguares – Deportivo PereiraFebruary 27, 2023 · Primera A2-0

Jaguares – Deportivo PereiraAugust 15, 2022 · Primera A1-2

Deportivo Pereira – JaguaresFebruary 16, 2022 · Primera A2-1

Deportivo Pereira – JaguaresNovember 6, 2021 · Primera A0-0

Jaguares – Deportivo PereiraFebruary 26, 2021 · Primera A2-0

Deportivo Pereira – JaguaresFebruary 19, 2020 · Primera A1-0

Deportivo Pereira – JaguaresApril 24, 2019 · Copa Colombia5-1

Jaguares – Deportivo PereiraMarch 14, 2019 · Copa Colombia2-2

66'⇄Y. QuinonesOff: J. Largacha

66'⇄M. DiazOff: M. Perez

71'⚽A. PlataAssist: S. Urrea

72'⇄J. A. Bermudez CorreaOff: E. Moreno

72'⇄E. A. Moreno GomezOff: A. Plata

80'⇄D. Rodriguez UrangoOff: L. Jimenez

80'⇄R. R. Colpa BolanoOff: J. Yanez

85'⇄L. MorenoOff: M. Palacios

Statistics

43%Possession57%

1.11Expected goals0.77

16Total shots18

3Shots on target5

7Corners11

12Fouls7

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

5Saves2

83%Pass accuracy87%

Jaguares: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Deportivo Pereira scored 0.8 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Jaguares scored 0.8 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Jaguares · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Deportivo Pereira: 10 games · Jaguares: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)0.6

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.8

1.7Total goals per gameleague 2.52.4

8/10Over 0.5league %939/10

5/10Over 1.5league %746/10

3/10Over 2.5league %474/10

1/10Over 3.5league %242/10

0/10Over 4.5league %102/10

3/10Both scoreleague %544/10

6/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score6/10

Deportivo Pereira: 10 games · Jaguares: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.0

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.53.3

8/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

7/10Over 1.5league %748/10

4/10Over 2.5league %477/10

3/10Over 3.5league %244/10

0/10Over 4.5league %103/10

5/10Both scoreleague %547/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%43 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Deportivo Pereira win 434, 314 end level and Jaguares win 252. The actual result comes up 434 times in 1000.

1.11 – 0.77 The score the chances deserved (xG): Deportivo Pereira 1.11 – 0.77 Jaguares.

8.3

Man of the match: Sebastián Urrea (Deportivo Pereira), rated 8.3.

%41 Our model's pre-match chance of a Deportivo Pereira win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

Jaguares · Primera A

Deportivo Pereira · All games

Jaguares · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Deportivo Pereira's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match