FC Midtjylland – Lyngby: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Superliga · Denmark · Matchday 12

FC MidtjyllandSuperliga · #1

3-2Sunday, October 25

LyngbySuperliga · #11

Match events

FC MidtjyllandLyngby

17'⚽Cho Gue-sung
32'⚽Simon ColynAssist: Lauge Sandgrav
45'⇄Julius EmefileOff: Victor Bak Jensen
45+1'Andreas Maxsø
45+4'⚽Philip BillingPenalty
48'⚽Friday EtimAssist: Kjell-Arik Wätjen
59'

Chances to win

FC Midtjylland%65

Draw%19

Lyngby%16

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

FC MidtjyllandL0-1W2-1D1-1W2-1D1-1

LyngbyD3-3L2-5L0-4D1-1W

Last 15 meetings

7FC Midtjylland won

4Draw

4Lyngby won

2.8
Goals per game8/15
Over 2.59/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

FC Midtjylland · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

Lyngby · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

FC Midtjylland · last 9 at home5.9 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners5/9Over 0.5 cards

Lyngby · last 5 away6.4 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/5Over 4.5 corners4/5Over 5.5 corners2/5Over 0.5 cards5/5Over 1.5 cards3/5

Bench

O. Ejeheri, B. Dje Bi Dje, Hong Hyun-Seok, J. Emefile, M. Rajović, M. Uhre, S. Iheanacho, D. Martínez

Lyngby · 4-4-2

31D. Kochen

2O. Buur

12David Helgi Aronsson

25R. Tytens

30M. Fischer

8M. Hebo

14L. Sandgrav

18J. Thomasen

19G. Fraulo

7S. Colyn

26F. Gytkjær

Bench

J. Ægidius, C. Allen, D. Kristjánsson, Oliver Højer, Z. Sertdemir, W. Steindorsson, S. Ngabo, M. Anderson

Lyngby – FC MidtjyllandAugust 6, 2023 · Superliga4-1

Lyngby – FC MidtjyllandMay 7, 2023 · Superliga2-1

FC Midtjylland – LyngbyApril 10, 2023 · Superliga1-0

FC Midtjylland – LyngbyMarch 12, 2023 · Superliga1-3

Lyngby – FC MidtjyllandAugust 5, 2022 · Superliga3-3

Lyngby – FC MidtjyllandMarch 4, 2021 · Superliga2-0

FC Midtjylland – LyngbySeptember 19, 2020 · Superliga1-0

FC Midtjylland – LyngbyFebruary 17, 2020 · Superliga2-0

Lyngby – FC MidtjyllandSeptember 15, 2019 · Superliga0-3

Lyngby – FC MidtjyllandOctober 29, 2017 · Superliga2-2

FC Midtjylland – LyngbyAugust 27, 2017 · Superliga1-1

Stanley IheanachoOff: Cho Gue-sung

72'⇄Markus Adeniyi Anderson AdedejiOff: Frederik Gytkjær

72'⇄William SteindorssonOff: Simon Colyn

73'⇄Beni JuniorOff: Friday Etim

73'⇄Hong Hyun-SeokOff: Philip Billing

84'⇄Zidan SertdemirOff: Mathias Hebo Rasmussen

84'⇄Oliver HøjerOff: Jens Thomasen

86'⇄Joseph Avwerosuoghene OkuaghareOff: Kjell-Arik Wätjen

89'⚽Gustav Leone Fraulo

90'⇄Sanders NgaboOff: Gustav Leone Fraulo

Statistics

52%Possession48%

2.47Expected goals0.74

19Total shots13

7Shots on target5

5Corners2

10Fouls13

1Offsides1

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

3Saves4

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

FC Midtjylland win%65

Both score%59

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%35

Draw%19

Lyngby win%16

Why?

FC Midtjylland · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Lyngby · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

FC Midtjylland: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Lyngby: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
FC Midtjylland scored 1.8 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Lyngby scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC Midtjylland: 10 games · Lyngby: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.13.3

10/10Over 0.5league %969/10

8/10Over 1.5league %859/10

7/10Over 2.5league %576/10

4/10Over 3.5league %384/10

3/10Over 4.5league %193/10

7/10Both scoreleague %636/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

FC Midtjylland: 10 games · Lyngby: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.13.3

10/10Over 0.5league %969/10

9/10Over 1.5league %859/10

7/10Over 2.5league %575/10

4/10Over 3.5league %384/10

3/10Over 4.5league %193/10

8/10Both scoreleague %636/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%75 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), FC Midtjylland win 753, 156 end level and Lyngby win 91. The actual result comes up 753 times in 1000.

2.47 – 0.74 The score the chances deserved (xG): FC Midtjylland 2.47 – 0.74 Lyngby.

7.8

Man of the match: Cho Gue-Sung (FC Midtjylland), rated 7.8.

%65 Our model's pre-match chance of a FC Midtjylland win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at FC Midtjylland's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

FC Midtjylland · Superliga

Lyngby · Superliga

FC Midtjylland · All games

Lyngby · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match