The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%57
NK Varazdin win%56
Not both score%43
Under 2.5%43
Draw%24
NK Slaven Belupo win%20
Why?
NK Varazdin: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
NK VarazdinL0-1W1-0D0-0D2-2W4-0
NK Slaven BelupoL1-5W4-1D2-2L0-1W5-0
Last 15 meetings
7NK Varazdin won
3Draw
5NK Slaven Belupo won
2.7 Goals per game7/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
NK Varazdin · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
NK Slaven Belupo · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
NK Varazdin · last 9 at home3.9 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Ante Terzić4.3 cards a match in 7 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
NK Varazdin · HNL
5W 3D 2LScored 14 · conceded 82.5 Üst 4/10KG 4/10
NK Slaven Belupo · HNL
3W 1D 6LScored 12 · conceded 222.5 Üst 7/10KG 5/10
NK Varazdin · All games
5W 3D 2LScored 16 · conceded 72.5 Üst 4/10KG 3/10
NK Slaven Belupo · All games
4W 1D 5LScored 17 · conceded 202.5 Üst 8/10KG 5/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
NK Varazdin · 4-2-3-1
33J. Silić
13M. Mladenovski
16N. Tepšić
20G. Sikošek
30L. Posinkovic
8T. Duvnjak
12P. Bočkaj
22L. Mamić
28I. Canjuga
38Iuri Tavares
10A. Latković
Bench
R. McCrorie, L. Škaričić, Sven Lesjak, R. Punčec, M. Barać, D. Puclin, L. Lukanić, I. Posavec, M. Vuk, S. Jurić, V. Akrap
NK Slaven Belupo · 4-2-3-1
30K. Sentić
4
This fixture at NK Varazdin's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
3NK Varazdin won
1Draw
3NK Slaven Belupo won
NK Varazdin last won here on Apr 12, 2026: NK Varazdin 2-1 NK Slaven Belupo.NK Slaven Belupo last won here on Oct 25, 2025: NK Varazdin 1-3 NK Slaven Belupo.2.6 goals a game here · over 2.5 4/7 · BTTS 4/7
Last 15 meetings
7NK Varazdin won
3Draw
5NK Slaven Belupo won
2.7 Goals per game7/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Previous meetings
NK Slaven Belupo – NK VarazdinAugust 9, 2026 · HNL1-4
NK Varazdin – NK Slaven BelupoApril 12, 2026 · HNL2-1
NK Slaven Belupo – NK VarazdinJanuary 31, 2026 · HNL0-2
NK Varazdin – NK Slaven BelupoOctober 25, 2025 · HNL
3/9
Over 0.5 cards8/9
Over 1.5 cards6/9
NK Slaven Belupo · last 9 away4.2 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards6/9Over 1.5 cards3/9
NK Slaven Belupo · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
NK Varazdin: 10 games · NK Slaven Belupo: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.1
0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.9
1.9Total goals per gameleague 3.03.0
7/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
7/10Over 1.5league %809/10
3/10Over 2.5league %627/10
1/10Over 3.5league %403/10
1/10Over 4.5league %201/10
4/10Both scoreleague %554/10
6/10Clean sheets1/10
3/10Failed to score5/10
NK Varazdin: 10 games · NK Slaven Belupo: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)1.8
0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.6
1.9Total goals per gameleague 3.03.4
7/10Over 0.5league %9310/10
5/10Over 1.5league %809/10
4/10Over 2.5league %627/10
3/10Over 3.5league %404/10
0/10Over 4.5league %203/10
3/10Both scoreleague %555/10
6/10Clean sheets2/10
4/10Failed to score3/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%15 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), NK Varazdin win 597, 255 end level and NK Slaven Belupo win 148. The actual result comes up 148 times in 1000.
%20 Our model's pre-match chance of an NK Slaven Belupo win.
1.54 – 0.62 The score the chances deserved (xG): NK Varazdin 1.54 – 0.62 NK Slaven Belupo.
7.3 Man of the match: J. Mitrović (NK Slaven Belupo), rated 7.3.