Operario-PR – Athletic Club: probabilities, statistics and live score

Operario-PRSerie B · #10

1-0Saturday, October 24

Athletic ClubSerie B · #15

Match events

Operario-PRAthletic Club

12'Brenno
29'⚽Caio DantasAssist: Dudu
45'Jhonatan
45'⇄Enzo Henrique dos SantosOff: José Carlos Cracco Neto
45'⇄Wilinton Aponza CarabaliOff: Dixon Vera
45'⇄Philipe Sampaio AzevedoOff: Pedro Henrique de Oliveira

Chances to win

Operario-PR%50

Draw%28

Athletic Club%23

At a glance

Over 1.5

%45Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Operario-PRL0-1L0-2L1-2L0-3D2-2

Athletic ClubD0-0D2-2L1-2L1-2D

Last 3 meetings

1Operario-PR won

0Draw

2Athletic Club won

3.0
Goals per game2/3
Over 2.52/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Operario-PR · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Athletic Club · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Operario-PR · last 10 at home6.9 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Operario-PR win%50

Both score%49

Over 2.5%45

Draw%28

Athletic Club win%23

Why?

Athletic Club · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Operario-PR: 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.
Athletic Club: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Operario-PR scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Athletic Club scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Operario-PR: 10 games · Athletic Club: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.32.2

9/10Over 0.5league %928/10

8/10Over 1.5league %697/10

7/10Over 2.5league %435/10

3/10Over 3.5league %182/10

1/10Over 4.5league %70/10

6/10Both scoreleague %475/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Operario-PR: 10 games · Athletic Club: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.32.7

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

8/10Over 1.5league %698/10

6/10Over 2.5league %436/10

2/10Over 3.5league %183/10

1/10Over 4.5league %71/10

4/10Both scoreleague %475/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Operario-PR: a 5-match wait for a win is over.

%29 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Operario-PR win 286, 370 end level and Athletic Club win 345. The actual result comes up 286 times in 1000.

0.69 – 0.79 The score the chances deserved (xG): Operario-PR 0.69 – 0.79 Athletic Club.

8.0

Man of the match: Caio Dantas (Operario-PR), rated 8.0.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Operario-PR · Serie B

Athletic Club · Serie B

Operario-PR · All games

Athletic Club · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match