Juventude – Nautico Recife: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Brazil · Matchday 35

JuventudeSerie B · #2

4-0Tuesday, October 27

Nautico RecifeSerie B · #15

Match events

JuventudeNautico Recife

7'⚽Fabio limaAssist: Safira
8'Fabio lima
26'Jean Carlos
29'Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro
40'⚽Raí da Silva Pessanha
45'⇄SamuelOff: Luiz Felipe
50'⚽

Chances to win

Juventude%64

Draw%22

Nautico Recife%14

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%46Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Juventude win.

%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%54

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Both score%46

Draw%22

Nautico Recife win%14

Why?

Juventude won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

JuventudeD2-2D2-2W2-0W3-0W1-0

Nautico RecifeD0-0L0-2L0-2D1-1W3-1

Last 7 meetings

2Juventude won

4Draw

1Nautico Recife won

2.1
Goals per game3/7
Over 2.54/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Juventude · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Nautico Recife · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Juventude · last 10 at home3.7 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Nautico Recife · last 10 away5.7 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

Muriel, Arnaldo, Wanderson, Luiz Paulo, Auremir, Samuel, Paulo Sérgio, Victor Andrade, Luiz Cláudio, Kaua Almeida da Costa, Júnior Todinho

Juventude – Nautico RecifeSeptember 16, 2019 · Serie C2-1

Juventude – Nautico RecifeOctober 25, 2017 · Serie B0-0

Nautico Recife – JuventudeJuly 12, 2017 · Serie B1-1

AderlanAssist: Gabriel Pires

54'⇄Wanderson Camelo VianaOff: Ryan Santos

58'⇄Luis AmarillaOff: Fabio lima

59'⇄Cristian Chagas TaroucoOff: sam rodrigo

66'⇄Victor AndradeOff: Benjamín Borasi

72'⇄Lucas MineiroOff: Raí da Silva Pessanha

79'⇄Paulo SérgioOff: Jean Carlos

79'⇄Ray Breno Silva ValentimOff: Marcos Paulo

79'⇄Kauan Almeida da CostaOff: Derek Freitas Ribeiro

79'⇄JuanOff: Gabriel Pires

89'Wanderson Camelo Viana

90+6'⚽Luis AmarillaAssist: Safira

Statistics

51%Possession49%

3.39Expected goals1.82

24Total shots15

11Shots on target4

4Corners3

17Fouls14

1Offsides1

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

3Saves7

Juventude scored 1.3 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Nautico Recife scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Juventude · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Nautico Recife · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Juventude: 10 games · Nautico Recife: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)0.5

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.32.1

9/10Over 0.5league %928/10

7/10Over 1.5league %698/10

5/10Over 2.5league %434/10

3/10Over 3.5league %181/10

0/10Over 4.5league %70/10

3/10Both scoreleague %465/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

Juventude: 10 games · Nautico Recife: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.32.7

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

9/10Over 1.5league %698/10

6/10Over 2.5league %435/10

4/10Over 3.5league %183/10

0/10Over 4.5league %71/10

4/10Both scoreleague %464/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

3.39 – 1.82 The score the chances deserved (xG): Juventude 3.39 – 1.82 Nautico Recife.

%68 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Juventude win 678, 145 end level and Nautico Recife win 177. The actual result comes up 678 times in 1000.

11 – 4 Shots on target: Juventude 11 – 4 Nautico Recife.

8.6

Man of the match: Alisson Safira (Juventude), rated 8.6.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Juventude · Serie B

Nautico Recife · Serie B

Juventude · All games

Nautico Recife · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Juventude's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match