Ceara – Goias: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Brazil · Matchday 35

CearaSerie B · #16

0-2Wednesday, October 28

GoiasSerie B · #9

Match events

CearaGoias

31'⇄Rafael RamosOff: Sanchez Costa
32'Gabriel Silva Rocha
36'João Gabriel Santos Batista
54'Saulo Mineiro
61'⇄Rodrigo SoaresOff: Djalma Silva
61'⇄Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de CastroOff: Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida

Chances to win

Ceara%45

Draw%28

Goias%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Not both score%46

Ceara win%45

Draw%28

Goias win%27

Why?

Ceara: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CearaD2-2L0-1W1-0W1-0D2-2

GoiasD0-0W2-0W2-1L0-3L0-1

Last 15 meetings

2Ceara won

7Draw

6Goias won

2.2
Goals per game6/15
Over 2.58/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Ceara · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Goias · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Ceara · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Goias · last 10 away3.4 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

Thiago Rodrigues, Rodrigo Soares, Ramon Menezes, Luis Fellipe, Danilo Cunha, Juninho, Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira, Wellington Rato, Gegê, Guilherme Baldória, Anselmo Ramon, Cadu

Goias – CearaJune 12, 2022 · Serie A

Goias – CearaJanuary 22, 2021 · Serie A0-4

Ceara – GoiasSeptember 28, 2020 · Serie A2-2

Ceara – GoiasOctober 6, 2019 · Serie A0-1

Goias – CearaMay 12, 2019 · Serie A2-1

Goias – CearaNovember 11, 2017 · Serie B0-0

Ceara – GoiasJuly 22, 2017 · Serie B0-1

Goias – CearaSeptember 11, 2016 · Serie B2-0

Ceara – GoiasJune 1, 2016 · Serie B2-1

Goias – CearaSeptember 5, 2012 · Serie B0-0

Ceara – GoiasMay 30, 2012 · Serie B2-2

65'VAREnzo LodovicoGoal confirmed

66'⇄Lucas MugniOff: Matheus Araujo

67'⇄Rian SantanaOff: Enzo Lodovico

70'⇄Wellington RatoOff: Lucas Lima

71'⇄Geirton Marques AiresOff: Lucas Rodrigues

80'⇄ViníciusOff: Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira

80'⇄Lenny Ivo Lobato RomanelliOff: Bryan Borges Mascarenhas

80'⇄Danilo CunhaOff: Nicolas Vichiatto Da Silva

90+2'⚽Carlos Eduardo de Sousa LeopoldinoAssist: Rodrigo Soares

90+3'Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino

90+5'⚽Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino

Statistics

33%Possession67%

0.93Expected goals1.89

15Total shots19

3Shots on target11

2Corners8

12Fouls6

0Offsides4

4Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

8Saves3

Goias: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Ceara scored 1.2 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Goias scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Ceara · last 10 at home: both scored 5 times5/10

Ceara: 10 games · Goias: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.32.4

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %698/10

5/10Over 2.5league %434/10

2/10Over 3.5league %182/10

0/10Over 4.5league %70/10

5/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Ceara: 10 games · Goias: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.32.1

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %697/10

5/10Over 2.5league %434/10

2/10Over 3.5league %181/10

0/10Over 4.5league %70/10

6/10Both scoreleague %463/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of an Goias win.

%60 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Ceara win 181, 220 end level and Goias win 599. The actual result comes up 599 times in 1000.

0.93 – 1.89 The score the chances deserved (xG): Ceara 0.93 – 1.89 Goias.

3 – 11 Shots on target: Ceara 3 – 11 Goias.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Ceara · Serie B

Goias · Serie B

Ceara · All games

Goias · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Ceara's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match