Fortaleza EC – CRB: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Brazil · Matchday 33

Fortaleza ECSerie B · #5

2-2Monday, October 12

CRBSerie B · #6

Match events

Fortaleza ECCRB

11'Luiz Fernando
11'⚽MaíltonAssist: Juan Camilo Cantillo
42'⚽ Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues
45'⇄Rodrigo Henrique Santos De SouzaOff: Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos
45'⚽Pedro CastroOwn goal
50'⇄Vitor FerreiraOff: Luiz Fernando
54'

Chances to win

Fortaleza EC%49

Draw%27

CRB%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Fortaleza EC win%49

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%48

Draw%27

CRB win%24

Why?

Fortaleza EC: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Fortaleza ECW1-0D1-1D2-2W2-1D1-1

CRBW3-1L1-3W3-0L0-1W2-1

Last 4 meetings

1Fortaleza EC won

2Draw

1CRB won

1.5
Goals per game1/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Fortaleza EC · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

CRB · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Fortaleza EC · last 10 at home7.1 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

CRB · last 10 away5.7 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

Matheus, Kevin, Maycon, Fábio Alemão, Henri, Geovane, Estevão, Luizão, Douglas Baggio, João Neto, Vinicius Barata, Ygor Catatau

60'⇄Nathan FogaçaOff: Juan Camilo Cantillo

60'⇄Lucas CrispimOff: Lucas Sasha

65'⇄Vinicius BarataOff: Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues

73'⇄Welliton Silva de Azevedo MatheusOff: Pedro Henrique

78'⇄Douglas BaggioOff: Mikael

78'⇄GeovaneOff: Daniel Sampaio Simões

90'⇄LuizãoOff: Pedro Castro

90'⇄Ygor CatatauOff: Dadá Belmonte

Statistics

49%Possession51%

0Expected goals0

7Total shots5

1Shots on target2

6Corners11

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

CRB: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Fortaleza EC scored 1.4 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

CRB scored 1.0 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Fortaleza EC · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

CRB · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Fortaleza EC: 10 games · CRB: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.32.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %696/10

3/10Over 2.5league %435/10

3/10Over 3.5league %183/10

1/10Over 4.5league %71/10

7/10Both scoreleague %463/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

Fortaleza EC: 10 games · CRB: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.33.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %698/10

4/10Over 2.5league %438/10

3/10Over 3.5league %184/10

0/10Over 4.5league %70/10

6/10Both scoreleague %466/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

%98 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Fortaleza EC win 10, 980 end level and CRB win 10. The actual result comes up 980 times in 1000.

7.1

Man of the match: Thiaguinho (CRB), rated 7.1.

0.00 – 0.00 The score the chances deserved (xG): Fortaleza EC 0.00 – 0.00 CRB.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Fortaleza EC · Serie B

CRB · Serie B

Fortaleza EC · All games

CRB · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Fortaleza EC's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match