Criciuma – America Mineiro: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Brazil · Matchday 33

CriciumaSerie B · #4

1-0Tuesday, October 13

America MineiroSerie B · #19

Match events

CriciumaAmerica Mineiro

12'Rafael Raul Barcelos
13'VARNicolas Godinho JohannGoal cancelled
17'Luidy Montes Carneiro
41'Marcelo Hermes
45'⇄Rómulo OteroOff: Waguininho
45+4'VARJhonata Robert Alves da SilvaPenalty cancelled

Chances to win

Criciuma%69

Draw%20

America Mineiro%10

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%42Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Criciuma win.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%58

Over 2.5%50

Under 2.5%50

Both score%42

Draw%20

America Mineiro win%10

Why?

Criciuma won 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CriciumaL0-1W2-0W3-0L0-2L0-4

America MineiroL0-1L0-2L0-1L0-1L0-2

Last 3 meetings

2Criciuma won

1Draw

0America Mineiro won

2.0
Goals per game1/3
Over 2.52/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Criciuma · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

America Mineiro · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Criciuma · last 10 at home7.6 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

America Mineiro · last 10 away4.6 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

William, F. Elizari, Felipe Amaral, Guilherme Parede, Marcelo Macola

César MartinsAssist: Rómulo Otero

58'⇄Guilherme ParedeOff: Luidy Montes Carneiro

70'⇄JeanOff: Guilherme Teixeira Lobo

70'Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva

76'⇄Diego GonçalvesOff: Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva

76'⇄Yuri JonathanOff: Nicolas Godinho Johann

77'⇄Fernando ElizariOff: Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus

84'⇄Eduardo BiasiOff: Fellipe Mateus

89'⇄Julio César Leme Do NascimentoOff: Matías Segovia

89'⇄Otavio GoncalvesOff: Jorge Jiménez

Statistics

56%Possession44%

1.43Expected goals0.19

18Total shots9

2Shots on target2

8Corners5

12Fouls10

1Offsides1

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves1

Criciuma scored 1.0 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

America Mineiro scored 0.6 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Criciuma · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

America Mineiro · last 10 away: 9 defeats9/10

Criciuma: 10 games · America Mineiro: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)0.3

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.9

1.7Total goals per gameleague 2.32.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %696/10

1/10Over 2.5league %435/10

0/10Over 3.5league %181/10

0/10Over 4.5league %70/10

0/10Both scoreleague %463/10

7/10Clean sheets0/10

4/10Failed to score7/10

Criciuma: 10 games · America Mineiro: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.31.7

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %694/10

3/10Over 2.5league %432/10

1/10Over 3.5league %181/10

0/10Over 4.5league %70/10

1/10Both scoreleague %462/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score6/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%70 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Criciuma win 697, 255 end level and America Mineiro win 47. The actual result comes up 697 times in 1000.

18 – 9 Shots: Criciuma 18 – 9 America Mineiro.

1.43 – 0.19 The score the chances deserved (xG): Criciuma 1.43 – 0.19 America Mineiro.

9.0

Man of the match: César Martins (Criciuma), rated 9.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Criciuma · Serie B

America Mineiro · Serie B

Criciuma · All games

America Mineiro · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match