Gangwon FC – Incheon United: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·K League 1 · South Korea · Matchday 32

Gangwon FCK-League: Regular season · #5

1-1Sunday, October 18

Incheon UnitedK-League: Regular season · #6

Match events

Gangwon FCIncheon United

19'VARStefan MugošaPenalty confirmed
23'⚽Stefan MugošaPenalty
42'⚽Kim Dae-won
56'⇄Kim Seong-MinOff: Morgan Ferrier
56'⇄Gerso FernandesOff: Leandro Ribeiro
66'⇄Kim Gun-heeOff: Choe Byeong-chan

Chances to win

Gangwon FC%40

Draw%30

Incheon United%30

At a glance

Over 1.5

%41Over 2.5

%47Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Gangwon FCL1-2W2-0D0-0L0-1D0-0

Incheon UnitedW3-0D0-0D1-1L1-2W

Last 12 meetings

5Gangwon FC won

3Draw

4Incheon United won

1.9
Goals per game3/12
Over 2.54/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Gangwon FC · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Incheon United · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Gangwon FC · last 6 at home5.8 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/6Over 4.5 corners6/6Over 5.5 corners3/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards

Incheon United · last 4 away5.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/4Over 4.5 corners1/4Over 5.5 corners1/4Over 0.5 cards3/4Over 1.5 cards2/4

Bench

Lee Sang-Gi, Lee Dong-Ryul, Gerso, Choi Seung-Gu, Seo Jae-Min, Kim Seong-Min, Park Kyung-Sub, Lee Tae-Hui, Park Seung-Ho

Gangwon FC – Incheon UnitedApril 21, 2024 · K League 14-1

Gangwon FC – Incheon UnitedSeptember 24, 2023 · K League 11-1

Incheon United – Gangwon FCJuly 2, 2023 · K League 11-0

Gangwon FC – Incheon UnitedApril 16, 2023 · K League 10-2

Gangwon FC – Incheon UnitedOctober 8, 2022 · K League 10-0

Incheon United – Gangwon FCSeptember 2, 2022 · K League 10-1

Incheon United – Gangwon FCJune 22, 2022 · K League 14-1

Gangwon FC – Incheon UnitedMarch 1, 2022 · K League 10-1

Lee You-hyeonOff: Lee Seung-Won

71'⇄Park Seung-hoOff: Lee Chung-Yong

71'⇄Seo Jae-minOff: Lee Min-hyuk

89'⇄Park Sang-HyeokOff: Goh Young-jun

89'⇄Kang Joon-HyuckOff: Abdelkarim Chaouche

90+3'⇄Kim Dong-hyeonOff: Seo Min-woo

Statistics

64%Possession36%

20Total shots6

7Shots on target3

7Corners1

8Fouls7

5Offsides0

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves6

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%53

Both score%47

Over 2.5%41

Gangwon FC win%40

Draw%30

Incheon United win%30

Why?

Gangwon FC · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Incheon United · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Gangwon FC: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Incheon United: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Gangwon FC scored 0.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Incheon United scored 1.1 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Gangwon FC: 10 games · Incheon United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.2

1.5Total goals per gameleague 2.52.1

7/10Over 0.5league %899/10

5/10Over 1.5league %725/10

2/10Over 2.5league %474/10

1/10Over 3.5league %251/10

0/10Over 4.5league %121/10

4/10Both scoreleague %555/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

Gangwon FC: 10 games · Incheon United: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.3

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.0

1.7Total goals per gameleague 2.52.3

8/10Over 0.5league %899/10

6/10Over 1.5league %728/10

2/10Over 2.5league %475/10

1/10Over 3.5league %251/10

0/10Over 4.5league %120/10

5/10Both scoreleague %557/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%30 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

16 – 7 Shots: Gangwon FC 16 – 7 Incheon United.

8 – 3 Shots on target: Gangwon FC 8 – 3 Incheon United.

7 – 1 Corners: Gangwon FC 7 – 1 Incheon United.

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Gangwon FC's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Gangwon FC · K League 1

Incheon United · K League 1

Gangwon FC · All games

Incheon United · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match