Oddevold – IK brage: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Superettan · Sweden · Matchday 29

OddevoldSuperettan · #5

2-1Friday, October 30

IK brageSuperettan · #15

Match events

OddevoldIK brage

27'⚽Gustav Forssell
66'⇄Carl Freddie LantzOff: Oliver·Thoreson
67'⚽Aulon bitiqiAssist: Oscar Iglicar Berntsson
67'⇄mass siseOff: Gustav Berggren
68'Tobias Stagaard
72'⇄Timi DestinyOff: Elias forsberg
72'

Chances to win

Oddevold%58

Draw%22

IK brage%20

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%59

Oddevold win%58

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%38

Draw%22

IK brage win%20

Why?

Oddevold: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

OddevoldW7-0L1-3W2-0L1-2D0-0

IK brageL4-5L0-2W2-0L2-3D1-1

Last 5 meetings

4Oddevold won

1Draw

0IK brage won

3.8
Goals per game4/5
Over 2.54/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Oddevold · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

IK brage · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Oddevold · last 4 at home8.3 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/4Over 4.5 corners3/4Over 5.5 corners3/4Over 0.5 cards2/4Over 1.5 cards1/4

IK brage · last 4 away2.5 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/4Over 4.5 corners0/4Over 5.5 corners0/4Over 0.5 cards3/4Over 1.5 cards1/4

Bench

A. Engdahl, L. Konjuhi, Oliwer Stark, J. Skille, P. Jonsson, M. Sise

Oddevold – IK brageMay 18, 2024 · Superettan1-1

awaka djoroOff: Gustav Forssell

77'⇄lorik konjuhiOff: Tobias Stagaard

77'⇄Pontus JonssonOff: Gideon Granstrom

86'⇄oliwer starkOff: Noah Östberg

86'⇄Jakob Römo SkilleOff: Anton Lundin

86'⇄Rudi VikströmOff: Oscar Iglicar Berntsson

86'⇄Daniel KrezicOff: Aulon bitiqi

90+1'⚽Jakob Römo SkilleAssist: oliwer stark

90+3'Alexander Zetterstrom

Statistics

59%Possession41%

6Total shots5

4Shots on target2

3Corners4

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

IK brage: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Oddevold scored 1.9 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

IK brage scored 1.0 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Oddevold · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

IK brage · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Oddevold: 10 games · IK brage: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.93.2

8/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %779/10

7/10Over 2.5league %556/10

3/10Over 3.5league %364/10

2/10Over 4.5league %194/10

6/10Both scoreleague %606/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Oddevold: 10 games · IK brage: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.93.4

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %779/10

7/10Over 2.5league %555/10

4/10Over 3.5league %363/10

1/10Over 4.5league %193/10

6/10Both scoreleague %607/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%58 Our model's pre-match chance of a Oddevold win.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Oddevold · Superettan

IK brage · Superettan

Oddevold · All games

IK brage · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Oddevold's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match