Hammarby FF – Sirius: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Allsvenskan · Sweden · Matchday 26

Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · #2

2-0Thursday, October 29

SiriusAllsvenskan · #1

Match events

Hammarby FFSirius

5'ibrahima fofana breze
21'⚽Victor LindPenalty
46'Tesfaldet Tekie
51'⚽Paulos AbrahamAssist: Hampus Skoglund
59'⇄N. JönssonOff: Charlie Nildén
64'N. Jönsson
64'

Chances to win

Hammarby FF%63

Draw%20

Sirius%17

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Hammarby FF win.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%62

Both score%58

Not both score%42

Under 2.5%38

Draw%20

Sirius win%17

Why?

Hammarby FF won 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Hammarby FFW2-0W1-0L0-1W1-0W3-1

SiriusL1-2D2-2W1-0W2-1W2-0

Last 15 meetings

10Hammarby FF won

3Draw

2Sirius won

3.1
Goals per game10/15
Over 2.58/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Hammarby FF · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Sirius · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Hammarby FF · last 9 at home7.4 corners, 1.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/9Over 4.5 corners9/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards

Sirius · last 9 away5.4 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners4/9Over 0.5 cards6/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

Bench

F. Jakobsson, V. Eriksson, W. Renecke, O. Steinke Branby, O. Johansson, N. Besara, Sourou Kone, O. Moczarny, S. Kebbeh

Sirius · 4-2-3-1

34D. Celic

2Mohamed Soumah

4T. Anker

5H. Castegren

22O. Krusnell

6M. Lindberg

7J. Persson

10M. Heier

11I. Bjerkebo

21C. Nildén

30Z. Vancsa

Bench

I. Diawara, S. Sandberg, V. Ekström, Matthias Nartey, A. Wikman, V. Svensson, N. Jönsson, O. Adindu

Sirius – Hammarby FFOctober 26, 2024 · Allsvenskan0-3

Hammarby FF – SiriusMay 26, 2024 · Allsvenskan3-0

Hammarby FF – SiriusOctober 30, 2023 · Allsvenskan2-2

Hammarby FF – SiriusOctober 12, 2023 · Friendlies Clubs1-0

Sirius – Hammarby FFJuly 9, 2023 · Allsvenskan1-2

Hammarby FF – SiriusJune 26, 2023 · Friendlies Clubs4-1

Hammarby FF – SiriusOctober 20, 2022 · Allsvenskan1-1

Sirius – Hammarby FFApril 25, 2022 · Allsvenskan0-3

Sirius – Hammarby FFJanuary 29, 2022 · Friendlies Clubs1-3

Sirius – Hammarby FFOctober 27, 2021 · Allsvenskan0-1

Sirius – Hammarby FFJune 28, 2021 · Friendlies Clubs0-2

71'⇄Oscar JohanssonOff: Frank Junior Adjei

80'⇄Ake AnderssonOff: Zalán Vancsa

80'⇄Victor ErikssonOff: Hampus Skoglund

80'⇄Nahir BesaraOff: Montader Madjed

83'ibrahima fofana breze

84'⇄Waylon ReneckeOff: Tesfaldet Tekie

87'⇄Simon SandbergOff: Melker Heier

Statistics

62%Possession38%

1.48Expected goals1.72

12Total shots14

3Shots on target5

10Corners7

11Fouls13

1Offsides4

1Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

5Saves2

Hammarby FF scored 2.0 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sirius scored 2.2 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Hammarby FF · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Hammarby FF: 10 games · Sirius: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.9

0.6Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.92.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

8/10Over 1.5league %808/10

4/10Over 2.5league %535/10

2/10Over 3.5league %302/10

0/10Over 4.5league %161/10

3/10Both scoreleague %514/10

5/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Hammarby FF: 10 games · Sirius: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.92.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9610/10

7/10Over 1.5league %807/10

3/10Over 2.5league %534/10

2/10Over 3.5league %301/10

1/10Over 4.5league %160/10

3/10Both scoreleague %513/10

6/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%33 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Hammarby FF win 333, 233 end level and Sirius win 435. The actual result comes up 333 times in 1000.

1.48 – 1.72 The score the chances deserved (xG): Hammarby FF 1.48 – 1.72 Sirius.

8.1

Man of the match: W. Hahn (Hammarby FF), rated 8.1.

%63 Our model's pre-match chance of a Hammarby FF win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan

Sirius · Allsvenskan

Hammarby FF · All games

Sirius · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Hammarby FF's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match