Estudiantes L.P. – Instituto Cordoba: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Clausura - 15

Estudiantes L.P.Apertura - Group A · #1

3-3Sunday, November 1

Instituto CordobaApertura - Group A · #9

Match events

Estudiantes L.P.Instituto Cordoba

3'⚽Facundo Ezquel Suarez
12'Fernando Alarcon
19'Diego Alejandro Sosa
20'Lucas Piovi
27'Santiago Núñez
34'Leonel Mosevich
40'

Chances to win

Estudiantes L.P.%48

Draw%30

Instituto Cordoba%23

At a glance

Over 1.5

%38Over 2.5

%43Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%57

Estudiantes L.P. win%48

Both score%43

Over 2.5%38

Draw%30

Instituto Cordoba win%23

Why?

Estudiantes L.P.: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Estudiantes L.P.L1-3D0-0L1-2D0-0D2-2

Instituto CordobaW1-0W1-0D2-2W4-1W3-1

Last 3 meetings

2Estudiantes L.P. won

1Draw

0Instituto Cordoba won

2.0
Goals per game1/3
Over 2.51/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Estudiantes L.P. · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Instituto Cordoba · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Estudiantes L.P. · last 8 at home6.0 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/8Over 4.5 corners6/8Over 5.5 corners5/8Over 0.5 cards

Instituto Cordoba · last 9 away5.9 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards7/9

Bench

E. Sittaro, H. De La Fuente, A. Massaccesi, J. Meli, A. Bravo, J. Acevedo, I. Méndez, W. Viera, J. Córdoba, N. Guerra, M. Fonseca, M. Tissera

Jhon CórdobaOff: Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro

48'⚽Leonel MosevichAssist: Alex Luna

52'⚽Jhon CórdobaAssist: Alex Luna

57'⇄Bautista KociubinskiOff: Alexis Castro

57'⇄Ramiro Funes MoriOff: Joaquín Correa

58'⚽Guido CarrilloAssist: Lucas Piovi

60'⇄Agustín Nicolás MassaccesiOff: Jonathan Galván

60'⇄Hernán De La FuenteOff: Giuliano Cerato

60'⇄Matías TisseraOff: Facundo Ezquel Suarez

61'Eros Nazareno Mancuso

63'Hernán De La Fuente

65'⚽Tiago Palacios

75'⇄Baltasar Gallego RodriguezOff: Lucas Piovi

76'Agustín Nicolás Massaccesi

84'⇄Juan Ignacio MéndezOff: Alex Luna

85'⇄Edwuin CetreOff: Tiago Palacios

85'⇄Fabricio PérezOff: Gastón Benedetti

86'⚽Fabricio PérezAssist: Edwuin Cetre

Statistics

74%Possession26%

2.05Expected goals1.16

16Total shots9

8Shots on target5

6Corners2

15Fouls15

2Offsides2

3Yellow cards5

1Red cards0

2Saves5

Instituto Cordoba: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Estudiantes L.P. scored 1.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Instituto Cordoba scored 1.3 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Instituto Cordoba · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Estudiantes L.P.: 10 games · Instituto Cordoba: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.3

0.9Goals conceded (avg)0.7

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.22.0

8/10Over 0.5league %889/10

8/10Over 1.5league %655/10

6/10Over 2.5league %382/10

3/10Over 3.5league %162/10

0/10Over 4.5league %62/10

6/10Both scoreleague %474/10

4/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Estudiantes L.P.: 10 games · Instituto Cordoba: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.3Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.22.6

8/10Over 0.5league %889/10

6/10Over 1.5league %656/10

6/10Over 2.5league %385/10

3/10Over 3.5league %164/10

0/10Over 4.5league %62/10

5/10Both scoreleague %476/10

4/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%21 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Estudiantes L.P. win 579, 211 end level and Instituto Cordoba win 210. The actual result comes up 211 times in 1000.

%30 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2.05 – 1.16 The score the chances deserved (xG): Estudiantes L.P. 2.05 – 1.16 Instituto Cordoba.

74 – 26 Possession (%): Estudiantes L.P. 74 – 26 Instituto Cordoba.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Estudiantes L.P. · Liga Profesional Argentina

Instituto Cordoba · Liga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes L.P. · All games

Instituto Cordoba · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match