Belgrano Cordoba – River Plate: probabilities, statistics and live score

Belgrano CordobaApertura - Group B · #5

0-3Monday, October 19

River PlateApertura - Group B · #2

Match events

Belgrano CordobaRiver Plate

45+3'⚽T. GalvanAssist: G. Montiel
45+8'A. Sanchez
49'⚽A. CorreaAssist: L. Beltran
51'F. Vazquez
61'L. Lopez
67'L. Beltran
68'

Chances to win

Belgrano Cordoba%28

Draw%31

River Plate%41

At a glance

Over 1.5

%38Over 2.5

%46Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Belgrano CordobaW2-0W1-0W2-1D1-1D1-1

River PlateD1-1W1-0L1-2W2-1W

Last 5 meetings

2Belgrano Cordoba won

0Draw

3River Plate won

3.4
Goals per game5/5
Over 2.53/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Belgrano Cordoba · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

River Plate · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Belgrano Cordoba · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%54

Both score%46

River Plate win%41

Over 2.5%38

Draw%31

Belgrano Cordoba win%28

Why?

Belgrano Cordoba · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

River Plate · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Belgrano Cordoba: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
River Plate: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Belgrano Cordoba scored 1.5 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.
River Plate scored 1.2 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Belgrano Cordoba: 10 games · River Plate: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.0Goals conceded (avg)0.7

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.22.1

10/10Over 0.5league %889/10

8/10Over 1.5league %656/10

5/10Over 2.5league %384/10

1/10Over 3.5league %161/10

0/10Over 4.5league %61/10

4/10Both scoreleague %474/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Belgrano Cordoba: 10 games · River Plate: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.0

1.8Total goals per gameleague 2.22.8

9/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

6/10Over 1.5league %658/10

3/10Over 2.5league %386/10

0/10Over 3.5league %163/10

0/10Over 4.5league %61/10

4/10Both scoreleague %477/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Belgrano Cordoba: a 6-match unbeaten run ended here.

1.08 – 1.16 The score the chances deserved (xG): Belgrano Cordoba 1.08 – 1.16 River Plate.

%38 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Belgrano Cordoba win 336, 288 end level and River Plate win 376. The actual result comes up 376 times in 1000.

9.0

Man of the match: T. Galván (River Plate), rated 9.0.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Belgrano Cordoba · Liga Profesional Argentina

River Plate · Liga Profesional Argentina

Belgrano Cordoba · All games

River Plate · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match