The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Not both score%61
Both score%39
San Lorenzo win%38
Draw%34
Over 2.5%30
Deportivo Riestra win%28
Why?
San Lorenzo: 2 or fewer goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
San LorenzoL0-3L0-2D1-1W1-0L0-1
Deportivo RiestraD1-1D0-0L0-3D1-1D1-1
Last 5 meetings
1San Lorenzo won
3Draw
1Deportivo Riestra won
1.2 Goals per game0/5 Over 2.52/5 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
San Lorenzo · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Deportivo Riestra · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
San Lorenzo · last 9 at home4.4 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners3/9
Referee
Bruno Amiconi6.3 cards a match in 15 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional Argentina
3W 2D 5LScored 4 · conceded 102.5 Üst 1/10KG 1/10
Deportivo Riestra · Liga Profesional Argentina
1W 5D 4LScored 6 · conceded 112.5 Üst 2/10KG 4/10
San Lorenzo · All games
3W 2D 5LScored 4 · conceded 102.5 Üst 1/10KG 1/10
Deportivo Riestra · All games
1W 7D 2LScored 7 · conceded 102.5 Üst 1/10KG 5/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
San Lorenzo · 4-4-2
25J. Devecchi
2D. Arboleda
3T. Rodríguez
19E. Amor
35A. Cordoba
10Facundo Gulli
24N. Tripichio
38F. Farías
62G. Alassia
9A. Cuello
29R. Auzmendi
Bench
F. Altamirano, M. de Ritis, E. Herrera, Daniel Herrera, F. Lorenzón, Juan Rattalino, M. Río, A. Ladstatter, G. del Prete
Deportivo Riestra · 5-3-2
1I. Arce
5
This fixture at San Lorenzo's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 2
1San Lorenzo won
1Draw
0Deportivo Riestra won
San Lorenzo last won here on Nov 1, 2025: San Lorenzo 1-0 Deportivo Riestra.Deportivo Riestra won none of the last 2 here.1.5 goals a game here · over 2.5 0/2 · BTTS 1/2
Last 5 meetings
1San Lorenzo won
3Draw
1Deportivo Riestra won
1.2 Goals per game0/5 Over 2.52/5 Both score
Previous meetings
San Lorenzo – Deportivo RiestraJuly 18, 2026 · Copa Argentina1-1
Deportivo Riestra – San LorenzoMarch 26, 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-1
San Lorenzo – Deportivo RiestraNovember 1, 2025 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-0
San Lorenzo · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 9 times9/10
Deportivo Riestra · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10
San Lorenzo: 10 games · Deportivo Riestra: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
0.6Goals scored (avg)0.5
0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.3
1.4Total goals per gameleague 2.21.8
9/10Over 0.5league %888/10
4/10Over 1.5league %656/10
1/10Over 2.5league %382/10
0/10Over 3.5league %161/10
0/10Over 4.5league %61/10
2/10Both scoreleague %475/10
5/10Clean sheets2/10
4/10Failed to score5/10
San Lorenzo: 10 games · Deportivo Riestra: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
0.7Goals scored (avg)0.5
1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.3
1.7Total goals per gameleague 2.21.8
8/10Over 0.5league %889/10
5/10Over 1.5league %657/10
3/10Over 2.5league %382/10
1/10Over 3.5league %160/10
0/10Over 4.5league %60/10
3/10Both scoreleague %475/10
4/10Clean sheets1/10
5/10Failed to score5/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%43 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), San Lorenzo win 427, 256 end level and Deportivo Riestra win 317. The actual result comes up 427 times in 1000.
1.47 – 1.23 The score the chances deserved (xG): San Lorenzo 1.47 – 1.23 Deportivo Riestra.
66 – 34 Possession (%): San Lorenzo 66 – 34 Deportivo Riestra.
8.2 Man of the match: T. Rodríguez (San Lorenzo), rated 8.2.