Nashville SC – Sporting Kansas City: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 29

Nashville SCEastern Conference · #1

4-0Thursday, October 15

Sporting Kansas CityWestern Conference · #15

Match events

Nashville SCSporting Kansas City

10'⚽Hany MukhtarAssist: Andy Najar
17'⚽Sam SurridgeAssist: Hany Mukhtar
29'⚽Andy NajarAssist: Cristian Espinoza
45'⇄Calvin HarrisOff: André Luiz
45'⇄Jacob BartlettOff: Zorhan Bassong
53'⇄Taylor CalheiraOff: Seymour Garfield-Reid

Chances to win

Nashville SC%79

Draw%13

Sporting Kansas City%8

At a glance

Over 1.5

%74Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Nashville SCW4-1W2-0W3-0D2-2L1-2

Sporting Kansas CityD3-3L1-2W2-0L3-4W

Last 3 meetings

2Nashville SC won

0Draw

1Sporting Kansas City won

3.0
Goals per game3/3
Over 2.52/3
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Nashville SC · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Sporting Kansas City · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Nashville SC · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Sporting Kansas City · last 10 away4.4 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

J. Willis, D. Lovitz, J. Maher, J. Bauer, B. Acosta, P. Yazbek, S. Mohammed, A. Muyl, W. Madrigal

Sporting Kansas City · 4-4-2

30S. Cleveland

2I. James

15Jansen Miller

28Wyatt Meyer

99J. Reid

11André Luiz

20K. Agyabeng

22Z. Bassong

93M. Suleymanov

24R. Ramos

29S. Reid

Bench

J. Pulskamp, J. Bartlett, E. Karić, E. Bartlow, J. Davis, Capita, C. Harris, S. Afrifa, T. Calheira

65'VARSam SurridgeGoal cancelled

68'⇄Daniel LovitzOff: Andy Najar

68'⇄Shakur MohammedOff: Cristian Espinoza

69'⇄Jacob DavisOff: Ian James

76'⇄Bryan AcostaOff: matthew corcoran

76'⇄Warren MadrigalOff: Hany Mukhtar

81'⇄Emir KaricOff: Jayden Reid

83'⇄Alex MuylOff: Sam Surridge

90+3'VARWarren MadrigalPenalty confirmed

90+5'⚽Warren MadrigalPenalty

Statistics

49%Possession51%

3.81Expected goals0.49

18Total shots8

11Shots on target1

7Corners4

14Fouls10

1Offsides2

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

1Saves6

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Nashville SC win.

%79Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%74

Both score%55

Not both score%45

Under 2.5%26

Draw%13

Sporting Kansas City win%8

Why?

Nashville SC · last 10 at home: 9 wins9/10

Sporting Kansas City · last 10 away: 8 defeats8/10

Nashville SC won 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Nashville SC scored 2.4 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Sporting Kansas City scored 1.1 and conceded 2.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Nashville SC: 10 games · Sporting Kansas City: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.5Goals conceded (avg)2.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.7

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

7/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

6/10Over 2.5league %648/10

5/10Over 3.5league %415/10

3/10Over 4.5league %232/10

3/10Both scoreleague %646/10

6/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

Nashville SC: 10 games · Sporting Kansas City: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.6

0.6Goals conceded (avg)2.3

2.5Total goals per gameleague 3.23.9

8/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

8/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

5/10Over 2.5league %648/10

3/10Over 3.5league %416/10

1/10Over 4.5league %232/10

4/10Both scoreleague %648/10

6/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Nashville SC: win number 4 in a row.

%93 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Nashville SC win 926, 53 end level and Sporting Kansas City win 20. The actual result comes up 926 times in 1000.

3.81 – 0.49 The score the chances deserved (xG): Nashville SC 3.81 – 0.49 Sporting Kansas City.

18 – 8 Shots: Nashville SC 18 – 8 Sporting Kansas City.

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Cards
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When they score
When they concede

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Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 3 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 3 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer

Nashville SC · All games

Sporting Kansas City · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match